IT is an axiom in Philippine politics that nobody
ever loses an election; losers habitually whine they
were cheated. Concessions are hard to come by and when
they do they are done as a last resort, and grudgingly.
With one or two exceptions, all losing presidential
candidates routinely file an election protest but none
so far has succeeded. The appeals process moves ever
so slowly that some cases are still to be decided as
the term of the incumbent is winding down.
Poll manipulation is resorted to by both the ruling
party and the opposition. It did not come as a total
surprise that President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo talked
to an election official about protecting her lead in
the last but disputed 2004 election.
But what was a normal practice spun out of control
when the President was “caught” in the act
of conversing with the poll official when her private
cell phone was bugged by an unknown person or persons.
Whoever did the wiretap, which is illegal, is a matter
of conjecture, although military intelligence remains
a prime culprit.
For all of three weeks, the President maintained a
deafening silence, not saying whether the voice in the
belabored “Hello Garci” tape recording (now
a national ring tone favorite) was hers or not. But
this week, she fessed up, somberly telling the nation
on TV and radio that it was herself talking all right
and blurted out, in quick order, (a) she was sorry,
(b) she did nothing wrong and (c) she would not resign.
The opposition, of course, will not buy this apology
and will likely ratchet up their demand that she steps
down. But the trouble with the antis is that they are
themselves fragmented and no one seems to be a suitable
presidential material from their ranks.
The other alternatives are more alarming than reassuring.
Vice President Noli de Castro, the lawful successor
if the President quits, is disparaged as the torchbearer
of an oligarch family who will do the latter’s
bidding to regain their economic primacy which they
lost under martial law.
Another people power? Not unless the United States
gives it a nudge or the Philippine military leaders
desert the President the way they ditched President
Joseph Estrada in 2001. Don’t count on any of
these options from taking place.
A military junta? Generals can’t lead a nation
in turmoil or even in peacetime. Some of them can get
elected to the Senate or the House, but president? Forget
it. They just don’t have the right stuff.
So, for better or for worse, we are stuck with a discordant
administration for the next five years.
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